The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) — has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.
The latest results for the IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll will be released each morning by 6 a.m. ET.
Also look for daily videos with analysis of the latest results on our Facebook page and on Investors.com. About IBD/TIPP Poll
Final IBD/TIPP Poll Results
Trump Holds 2-Point Lead Over Clinton As Election Day Arrives: IBD/TIPP Poll
See Complete Day-By-Day IBD/TIPP Poll Results
| Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Other | Not Sure | |
| IBD/TIPP FINAL RESULTS ('Not Sure' Allocated) | 43.4% | 45.0% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | - |
| 'Not Sure' Shown | ||||||
| Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Other | Not sure | |
| OVERALL | 41.2% | 42.7% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 5.0% |
| Region | ||||||
| Northeast | 49% | 39% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| Midwest | 38% | 48% | 8% | 2% | - | 4% |
| South | 39% | 47% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| West | 41% | 32% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 7% |
| Age | ||||||
| 18-44 | 41% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| 45-64 | 38% | 49% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| 65+ | 48% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 38% | 46% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Female | 44% | 40% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Race | ||||||
| White | 34% | 51% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Black/Hispanic | 64% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 10% |
| Income | ||||||
| Under 30K | 48% | 32% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 5% |
| 30K-50K | 44% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
| 50-75K | 37% | 44% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| 75K+ | 41% | 49% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Education | ||||||
| High School | 44% | 44% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Some College | 32% | 50% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| College Degree or more | 44% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Party | ||||||
| Democrats | 86% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| Republicans | 6% | 85% | 5% | - | 1% | 3% |
| Ind./Other | 31% | 39% | 16% | 3% | 4% | 8% |
| Ideology | ||||||
| Conservative | 14% | 77% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Moderate | 50% | 28% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 6% |
| Liberal | 80% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
| Investor | ||||||
| Yes | 42% | 48% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| No | 42% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
| Area Type | ||||||
| Urban | 56% | 25% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% |
| Suburban | 42% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Rural | 29% | 58% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| Parental Status | ||||||
| Parents | 38% | 43% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Non-Parents | 43% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| White | ||||||
| White men | 31% | 53% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| White women | 37% | 48% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Black/Hispanic | ||||||
| Black | 78% | 8% | - | 2% | 3% | 9% |
| Hispanic | 39% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 9% | 10% |
| Women | ||||||
| Single women | 52% | 26% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| Married women | 38% | 49% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Household Description | ||||||
| Upper/Upper Middle | 43% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 3% |
| Middle | 41% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| Working | 42% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
| Lower | 30% | 41% | 3% | 5% | 19% | 2% |
| Religion | ||||||
| Protestant | 33% | 53% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
| Catholic | 48% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| Other | 40% | 45% | 7% | - | 5% | 4% |
| None | 55% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Union Household | ||||||
| Yes | 48% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| No | 40% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Two-candidate question | Clinton | Trump | Other | Not sure |
| OVERALL | 43.3% | 42.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% |
| Intensity of Support | Strong | Moderate |
| Clinton | 63% | 37% |
| Trump | 64% | 33% |
| Zeitgeist (Likely To Win) | Clinton | Trump | Too Close |
| Overall | 46% | 24% | 26% |
| Democrats | 76% | 4% | 16% |
| Republicans | 18% | 49% | 29% |
| Independents | 43% | 20% | 30% |
Results based on survey of 1107 likely voters conducted from 11/4 - 11/7. Margin of error: +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party identification breakdown:(Unweighted) 361 Democrats/367 Republicans/362 Independents; (Weighted) 361/333/381. Results in table above are based on weighted sample. IBD's polling partner TechnoMetrica uses "traditional" telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.
PRIOR RESULTS (PDF):
Final Results | Nov. 7 | Nov. 6 | Nov. 5 | Nov. 4 | Nov. 3 | Nov. 2 | Nov. 1 | Oct. 31 | Oct. 30 | Oct. 29 | Oct. 28 | Oct. 27 | Oct. 26 | Oct. 25 | Oct. 24 |Oct. 23 | Oct. 22 | Oct. 21 | Oct. 20 | Oct. 19
RELATED:
The Message Of Donald Trump's Stunning Victory
Why Hillary Clinton Lost: An Election Post-Mortem
Trump Holds 2-Point Lead Over Clinton As Election Day Arrives: IBD/TIPP Poll
IBD/TIPP Poll: Will Libertarian Gary Johnson Get 5% Of The Vote?
Once Again, Critics Of The IBD/TIPP Poll Get Their Facts Wrong
What Explains The Wide Range Of Poll Results Between IBD/TIPP And Others?
Hillary Clinton Vs. Donald Trump Vs. Investors
Could Trump Pull A Brexit-Style Surprise In November?
IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: The Most Accurate Presidential Poll In America
VIDEO: Election 2016: Why The IBD/TIPP Poll is The Most Precise In The U.S.
See More IBD/TIPP Poll Results And Analysis
About IBD/TIPP
The IBD/TIPP poll is a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Each month, the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is the earliest take on consumer confidence and predicts with good reliability monthly changes in sentiment in well-known polls by The Conference Board and the University of Michigan. Both the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index and IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll are national surveys based on randomly selected live interviews via cellphone and landlines.
For more information, go to www.tipponline.com. To license the IBD/TIPP Poll, please contact: [email protected].
For media inquiries, contact Terry Jones ([email protected]) or Matthew Galgani ([email protected]) or call (310) 448-6800.
